Friday, September 26, 2008

TGORH College Football Blitz

What's good? For Week 4 we went 3-3-1 ATS (16-8-1 ATS for the year) . Let's making this husltin' look easy and get that bookie $$$$$

# 13 Alabama Crimson Tide at #3 Georgia Bulldogs (-6.5, O/U 44.5)
The Crimson Tide (3-1-0 ATS) are coming off a blow-out conference victory at Arkansas, 49-14. At first glance, one might think that this Crimson Tide offense is solid. But in the words of Lee Corso "Not so fast, my friend". Sr. QB John Parker Wilson has yet to be in a pressure situation as the Tide's strong running game has been the focus of the opponents defense. The Tide have out rushed their opponents by 727 yards, averaging 236.8 rush yards per game. Bama's run game won't be as effective against a stacked Georgia (2-0-1 ATS) defense. The Dawgs are giving up only 2 yards per rush and has allowed only two touchdowns in their last two games. This game will be decided by QB play and the edge has to go to Georgia QB Matthew Stafford. Stafford only threw below 50% once last season (loss at Tennessee) and has yet to throw an interception or below 57% this season. In a night game between the hedges, the Dawgs win 21-10.
Georgia -6.5, Under 44.5

Don Delaware's Pick of the Week

North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)
The Tar Heels (1-1-0 ATS) have been impressive all season under former Miami coach Butch Davis. But with starting QB T.J. Yates out with an ankle injury, Redshirt Freshmen QB Mike Paulus gets the nod. Paulus filled in for the injured Yates last week against Virginia Tech and looked awful. Paulus finished the game 3 of 8 for 23 yards and two interceptions. The Miami (2-0-0 ATS) Hurricanes have been strong on rush defense. The Hurricanes are only giving up 75 yards per game on the ground, including games at Florida and at Texas A&M. Carolina's offense will see eight, maybe nine man fronts as the 'Canes will force Paulus to beat them passing. I bet he won't. Miami 42-17.
Miami -7.5

Other Picks for Week 5
Marshall Thundering Herd at West Virginia Mountaineers (O/U 54.5)
To say that West Virginia (0-2-0 ATS) has been a disappointment would be an understatement. What a better way to revamp your season than to have the lowly Thundering Herd (2-1-0 ATS) come in to Morgantown to play a pissed off Sr. QB Pat White and All Big-East RB Noel Divine. But the Mountaineers hot heads will be cooled off by a down pour of rain showers. The National Weather Service calls for 70% chance of rain before, during, and after the 3:30 EST kick-off. With a slick field on the turf, look for more running and less scoring. Roll with the thunder, and play the under. UNDER 54

#16 So Florida Bulls at NC State WolfPack (+9.5)
North Carolina State (2-1-0 ATS) started the season off in the worst way possible: shutout on offense while giving up 34 points on defense on national T.V. Since then the Wolfpack dropped a game at Clemson 27-9, but rebounded strong in week four beating then #14 East Carolina at home in OT. With that in mind, the 'Pack find themselves in the same situation as last week: 9 point underdog, to a ranked opponent, in an afternoon game, at home. So. Fla. (0-3-0 ATS) is coming off an ugly win against Florida International (who has yet to beat a D-I opponent) and hasn't covered the spread all year. Can lightning strike twice? I don't think so. But I do think that NC State covers at home 35-27.


Virginia Tech Hokies (+7) at Nebraska Huskers
True Sophmore QB Tyrod Taylor is ready for a break-out game. Trailing late in the third quarter 17-3, Taylor rallied the Hokies (1-2-0 ATS) for the 20-17 win at UNC. Nebraska (2-1-0 ATS) is largely untested this season with cupcake wins against Western Michigan, San Jose State, and New Mexico State. The Hokies are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 road games. Beamer's boys upset the black shirt defense 24-23.
Va Tech +7

Tennessee Volunteers at #15 Auburn Tigers (-7)
WOW. Tennessee football is terrible. The Vols are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 overall. Auburn is coming off a painful home loss to LSU. Tiger Coach Tommy Tuberville is sure to have the ace up his sleeve. The Auburn defense holds and the Orange offense never gets anything going. Tigers win 21-6.

as always here at TGORH.......SCARED $$$$ DON'T MAKE $$$$, BET BIG AND BET YOUR GUT

1 comment:

  1. "Roll with the Thunder and play the Under" may be the best line in our humble history.