Friday, September 19, 2008

TGORH College Football Blitz

What's good? For Week 3 we went 4-2 ATS (13-5 ATS for the year) correctly picking the ESPN Game of the Week: USC -11.5. This week we got some gimme's and some long shots. Let's making this husltin' look easy and get that bookie $$$

ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK
#6 L.S.U. Tigers at #9 Auburn Tigers (+3, O/U 38)

Talk about a game of the week! Under 38 is an easy play here. In their last eight meetings, the under has gone 7-1 and Auburn is 8-2 on the under in their last 10 conference games. This game should be NO different. Last week, Auburn (0-3-0 ATS) scored a whopping 3 points. But lucky for the offense, that's all the points they would need as the Tigers got the conference road win over Miss. State 3-2. LSU (0-1-0 ATS) has played NO ONE up to this point. This should be a challenging conference road test for LSU; especially for QB's Andrew Hatch (walk-on from Harvard) and Jarrett Lee (Redshirt freshmen). But, Auburn is in a similar situation at QB. True Sophmore Kodi Burns and Junior Chris Todd both rotate at the position as it appears that neither one wants the job. Bottom Line: Both Offenses SUCK. Auburn wins 9-7.
UNDER 38

Don Delaware's Parlay of the Week
#13 Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks (+9.5, O/U 46.5)

The Crimson Tide (2-1-0 ATS) looked solid against Clemson on national television in week 1. They dominated both sides of the ball and secured what appeared to be an easy win 34-10. But since then the Tide hasn't been rolling. Bama's defense gave up 318 yards of total offense to Tulane in the 20-6 win, but the score was much closer minus Javier Arenas 87-yard punt return. Alabama beat up on cupcake Western Kentucky 41-10 last week. Arkansas (0-1-0 ATS) has struggle every step of the way. Without two 4th quarter come back victories against Western Illinois and Louisian-Monroe, the hogs could be sitting at 0-2. But Sr. QB Casey Dick has shined with 641 passing yards and 4 TD's. Bama's weak link is their secondary and the Razorbacks strength is their passing. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings while the over is 7-3. With Arkansas weak D, but strong passing game this should be a shoot-out. The Hogs will cover the over and spread (that's all we care about) but lose to 31-23.
Arkansas +9.5 Over 46.5


Other Picks for Week 4
Boise St. Broncos at #12 Oregon (-10, O/U 54)

With QB Justin Roper out, the ducks (2-1-0 ATS) look to Sophmore QB Jeremiah Masoli to call the shots. Both teams run the ball exceptionally well, but Oregon's running duo of LeGarrette Blount (8.4 yds per carry) and Jeremiah Johnson (7.8 yds per carry) are definitely the stronger of the two. Boise State's (0-1-0 ATS) 28th Ranked Defense has been untested at home against Idaho State and Bowling Green. Even after forcing 3 turnovers against Bowling Green last weekend, the Bronco offense could only create 20 points. Oregon wins 44-13.
Oregon -10.

Va Tech (+3.5) at North Carolina
Va Tech (0-2-0 ATS) was embarrassed week one losing to C-USA foe East Carolina and following the loss up with an equally poor performance in the 24-7 win against Furman. Combine that with Carolina's (1-0-0 ATS) mud stomp of a win over Rutgers on national T.V. and you got yourself a 3.5 point spread. Rutgers isn't that good, and without QB Sean Glennon the Hokies arent that bad. With Sophmore Tyrod Taylor running the offense and the boys in brown back to playing Beamer Ball, Va Tech wins 20-10.
Va Tech +3.5

Iowa at Pittsburgh (-1, O/U 41)
Under is 9-1 in Iowa last 10 non-conference games and 17-5 in their last 22 road games. The Under is 7-1 in Pitt's last 8 games overall. Iowa (1-1-0 ATS) has played 3 different QB's for a combined 5/4 TD to INT ratio against stacked defenses like Maine, Florida International, and Iowa State. Pitt (0-2-0 ATS) has lost at home to Bowling Green, but beat Buffalo 27-16. Both teams struggle offensively, but Iowa gets their first road win 14-3.
UNDER 41


Mississippi State at Georgia Tech (-8)
Although Coach Croom is notorious for having his teams well prepared for road games, his teams are also notorious for slow starts to the season. The Bulldog offense (1-1-0 ATS) has scored 12 points against I-A opponents so far. With Ga Tech's (3-0-0 ATS) Defense only giving up 255 yards a game against both Boston College and Va Tech, it doesnt look any more hopeful for Miss State to score any points this week. Ga Tech runs the old skool Flexbone-option run which should give the Miss State defense fits. Tech wins at home 20-3.

GA TECH -8




SCARED MONEY DON'T MAKE MONEY, BET YOUR GUT AND BET BIG

3 comments:

  1. Auburn are pretenders. If you can't score touchdowns on Mississippi State, you can't score touchdowns. And touchdowns, not field goals, win games.

    ReplyDelete
  2. EVERYONE PUT THEIR FUCKING MONEY ON VANDY THIS YEAR FOR SEC CHAMPIONS!!!

    THE BEAST IN THE EAST MOTHERFUCKERS!!!

    ReplyDelete