Showing posts with label breaking your local bookie. Show all posts
Showing posts with label breaking your local bookie. Show all posts

Saturday, September 12, 2009

CFB Saturday Parlay

Nice start to the gambling season last week going 2-0 in our plays against Tulane and the under in the NC State vs So Carolina game. Enough self high-fives, lets go get that bookie money.....

#3 Southern Cal Trojans (-8) at #8 Ohio State Buckeyes (O/U 45)

Plain and simple, The Horseshoe at Ohio State is a tough place to play. Freshman USC QB Matt Barkley joked this week that the toughest crowd he's ever faced was when some parents got out of hand at a 7th grade youth game. Buckeye fans aren't laughing. That place will be a drunken mess tonight at 8:00 et. But Trojan Head Coach Pete Carroll knows this and won't put additional pressure on Barkley to make big plays. Instead, Carroll will look to his running game to carry the offense. On the flip side, the agile Buckeye QB Terrell Pryor runs the show for Ohio State. USC can't gameplan for a guy as diverse as Pryor and won't see another quaterback as athletic the rest of the season. Barkley's inexperience forces USC to play conservative against a stingy Ohio State run defense. Pryor's ability to make plays out of the pocket will give the USC defense fits. Bottom line: Big 10 football sucks and OSU is notorious for losing big games. But they will cover the 8 point spread.
THE PICK: USC 21, Ohio State 16

Thursday, September 3, 2009

College Football Week 1



Going on gut feel for my thursday/friday games, but here are some quick thoughts......

South Carolina at North Carolina State (Over/Under 46.5)
Both teams lack depth on offense (especially at QB), but boast strong defense. South Carolina returns key letterman to a team that finished #2 vs the Pass, and #13 nationally in total defense; NC State isn't as impressive statistically (mostly due to a shitty offense leaving them on the field), but returns a solid group of experienced veterans none the less. Spurrier has lost the offensive "it" factor he had at Florida, so don't let the 'Ole Ball Coach intimidate you into picking the Under 46.5 tonight. Spurrier is 28-21 at USC and has not lost an opener since last decade.
THE PICK: UNDER 46.5; USC 17, N.C.St 13


Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-14) at Tulane Green Wave (FRIDAY 9/4)

Tulsa did lose Offensive Coordinator Gus Malzhan to the same position at Auburn, but 4th year head coach Todd Graham preaches the same 5-Wide system that Malzhan uses; so don't look for any drastic changes to the offense this season. The blue and gold also have a new signal caller, but Redshirt Jr QB Jacob Bower should be fine as he knows the system. Tulsa stomped Tulane last year 56-7, and I don't see any reason why this shouldn't happen again.
THE PICK: Tulsa 45, Tulane 20




Monday, June 1, 2009

MLB Monday Night Double-Header

Hope you enjoyed the free money I gave away Saturday with 4 solid money picks. The Magic closed out the series with the Cavs as predicted here; while the Cardinals, White Sox, and Tigers were all in the winners circle. Tonight should be equally as successful. Let's get that Bookie cheddar.

New York Yankees (-1.5 runs at -120) vs Cleveland Indians

The Tribe's Jeremy Sowers (1-2 7.71 ERA) heads to the mound to take on Joba Chamberlain (2-1 3.97 ERA) and George Costanza's beloved New York Yankees. Sowers posted a 12.00 ERA in losing two straight starts before yielding three hits over five scoreless innings of relief to earn an 11-10 win over Tampa Bay last Monday. Sowers will have ZERO room for error against an offense that showcases Mark Teixeira (batting .400 with eight homers and 20 RBIs during his 13 game streak) and Derek Jeter (batting .397 during a 14-game hitting streak). Play the Yankees tonight minus 1.5 runs.


Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5 runs at +135)
Am I playing the Dodgers tonight because they are 18-5 at home? No. Playing the Dodgers because they have the best record in baseball? No. Playing the Dodgers because they are #1 in the power rankings? No. Play is on the Dodgers tonight because D'backs starting pitcher Billy Buckner (1-1, 7.16) was tagged for five runs in two-thirds of an inning of relief in an 11-2 loss to the Dodgers on April 11. Three days later, the right-hander was sent to Triple-A Reno. Damn son. Play the Dodgers minus 1.5 runs.

Friday, September 26, 2008

TGORH College Football Blitz

What's good? For Week 4 we went 3-3-1 ATS (16-8-1 ATS for the year) . Let's making this husltin' look easy and get that bookie $$$$$



ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK
# 13 Alabama Crimson Tide at #3 Georgia Bulldogs (-6.5, O/U 44.5)
The Crimson Tide (3-1-0 ATS) are coming off a blow-out conference victory at Arkansas, 49-14. At first glance, one might think that this Crimson Tide offense is solid. But in the words of Lee Corso "Not so fast, my friend". Sr. QB John Parker Wilson has yet to be in a pressure situation as the Tide's strong running game has been the focus of the opponents defense. The Tide have out rushed their opponents by 727 yards, averaging 236.8 rush yards per game. Bama's run game won't be as effective against a stacked Georgia (2-0-1 ATS) defense. The Dawgs are giving up only 2 yards per rush and has allowed only two touchdowns in their last two games. This game will be decided by QB play and the edge has to go to Georgia QB Matthew Stafford. Stafford only threw below 50% once last season (loss at Tennessee) and has yet to throw an interception or below 57% this season. In a night game between the hedges, the Dawgs win 21-10.
Georgia -6.5, Under 44.5


Don Delaware's Pick of the Week

North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes (-7.5)
The Tar Heels (1-1-0 ATS) have been impressive all season under former Miami coach Butch Davis. But with starting QB T.J. Yates out with an ankle injury, Redshirt Freshmen QB Mike Paulus gets the nod. Paulus filled in for the injured Yates last week against Virginia Tech and looked awful. Paulus finished the game 3 of 8 for 23 yards and two interceptions. The Miami (2-0-0 ATS) Hurricanes have been strong on rush defense. The Hurricanes are only giving up 75 yards per game on the ground, including games at Florida and at Texas A&M. Carolina's offense will see eight, maybe nine man fronts as the 'Canes will force Paulus to beat them passing. I bet he won't. Miami 42-17.
Miami -7.5


Other Picks for Week 5
Marshall Thundering Herd at West Virginia Mountaineers (O/U 54.5)
To say that West Virginia (0-2-0 ATS) has been a disappointment would be an understatement. What a better way to revamp your season than to have the lowly Thundering Herd (2-1-0 ATS) come in to Morgantown to play a pissed off Sr. QB Pat White and All Big-East RB Noel Divine. But the Mountaineers hot heads will be cooled off by a down pour of rain showers. The National Weather Service calls for 70% chance of rain before, during, and after the 3:30 EST kick-off. With a slick field on the turf, look for more running and less scoring. Roll with the thunder, and play the under. UNDER 54


#16 So Florida Bulls at NC State WolfPack (+9.5)
North Carolina State (2-1-0 ATS) started the season off in the worst way possible: shutout on offense while giving up 34 points on defense on national T.V. Since then the Wolfpack dropped a game at Clemson 27-9, but rebounded strong in week four beating then #14 East Carolina at home in OT. With that in mind, the 'Pack find themselves in the same situation as last week: 9 point underdog, to a ranked opponent, in an afternoon game, at home. So. Fla. (0-3-0 ATS) is coming off an ugly win against Florida International (who has yet to beat a D-I opponent) and hasn't covered the spread all year. Can lightning strike twice? I don't think so. But I do think that NC State covers at home 35-27.
WOLFPACK +9.5


BEST OF THE REST

Virginia Tech Hokies (+7) at Nebraska Huskers
True Sophmore QB Tyrod Taylor is ready for a break-out game. Trailing late in the third quarter 17-3, Taylor rallied the Hokies (1-2-0 ATS) for the 20-17 win at UNC. Nebraska (2-1-0 ATS) is largely untested this season with cupcake wins against Western Michigan, San Jose State, and New Mexico State. The Hokies are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 road games. Beamer's boys upset the black shirt defense 24-23.
Va Tech +7



Tennessee Volunteers at #15 Auburn Tigers (-7)
WOW. Tennessee football is terrible. The Vols are 1-2 ATS and 1-2 overall. Auburn is coming off a painful home loss to LSU. Tiger Coach Tommy Tuberville is sure to have the ace up his sleeve. The Auburn defense holds and the Orange offense never gets anything going. Tigers win 21-6.
AUBURN -7.









as always here at TGORH.......SCARED $$$$ DON'T MAKE $$$$, BET BIG AND BET YOUR GUT

Friday, September 19, 2008

TGORH College Football Blitz

What's good? For Week 3 we went 4-2 ATS (13-5 ATS for the year) correctly picking the ESPN Game of the Week: USC -11.5. This week we got some gimme's and some long shots. Let's making this husltin' look easy and get that bookie $$$

ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK
#6 L.S.U. Tigers at #9 Auburn Tigers (+3, O/U 38)

Talk about a game of the week! Under 38 is an easy play here. In their last eight meetings, the under has gone 7-1 and Auburn is 8-2 on the under in their last 10 conference games. This game should be NO different. Last week, Auburn (0-3-0 ATS) scored a whopping 3 points. But lucky for the offense, that's all the points they would need as the Tigers got the conference road win over Miss. State 3-2. LSU (0-1-0 ATS) has played NO ONE up to this point. This should be a challenging conference road test for LSU; especially for QB's Andrew Hatch (walk-on from Harvard) and Jarrett Lee (Redshirt freshmen). But, Auburn is in a similar situation at QB. True Sophmore Kodi Burns and Junior Chris Todd both rotate at the position as it appears that neither one wants the job. Bottom Line: Both Offenses SUCK. Auburn wins 9-7.
UNDER 38

Don Delaware's Parlay of the Week
#13 Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks (+9.5, O/U 46.5)

The Crimson Tide (2-1-0 ATS) looked solid against Clemson on national television in week 1. They dominated both sides of the ball and secured what appeared to be an easy win 34-10. But since then the Tide hasn't been rolling. Bama's defense gave up 318 yards of total offense to Tulane in the 20-6 win, but the score was much closer minus Javier Arenas 87-yard punt return. Alabama beat up on cupcake Western Kentucky 41-10 last week. Arkansas (0-1-0 ATS) has struggle every step of the way. Without two 4th quarter come back victories against Western Illinois and Louisian-Monroe, the hogs could be sitting at 0-2. But Sr. QB Casey Dick has shined with 641 passing yards and 4 TD's. Bama's weak link is their secondary and the Razorbacks strength is their passing. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings while the over is 7-3. With Arkansas weak D, but strong passing game this should be a shoot-out. The Hogs will cover the over and spread (that's all we care about) but lose to 31-23.
Arkansas +9.5 Over 46.5


Other Picks for Week 4
Boise St. Broncos at #12 Oregon (-10, O/U 54)

With QB Justin Roper out, the ducks (2-1-0 ATS) look to Sophmore QB Jeremiah Masoli to call the shots. Both teams run the ball exceptionally well, but Oregon's running duo of LeGarrette Blount (8.4 yds per carry) and Jeremiah Johnson (7.8 yds per carry) are definitely the stronger of the two. Boise State's (0-1-0 ATS) 28th Ranked Defense has been untested at home against Idaho State and Bowling Green. Even after forcing 3 turnovers against Bowling Green last weekend, the Bronco offense could only create 20 points. Oregon wins 44-13.
Oregon -10.

Va Tech (+3.5) at North Carolina
Va Tech (0-2-0 ATS) was embarrassed week one losing to C-USA foe East Carolina and following the loss up with an equally poor performance in the 24-7 win against Furman. Combine that with Carolina's (1-0-0 ATS) mud stomp of a win over Rutgers on national T.V. and you got yourself a 3.5 point spread. Rutgers isn't that good, and without QB Sean Glennon the Hokies arent that bad. With Sophmore Tyrod Taylor running the offense and the boys in brown back to playing Beamer Ball, Va Tech wins 20-10.
Va Tech +3.5

Iowa at Pittsburgh (-1, O/U 41)
Under is 9-1 in Iowa last 10 non-conference games and 17-5 in their last 22 road games. The Under is 7-1 in Pitt's last 8 games overall. Iowa (1-1-0 ATS) has played 3 different QB's for a combined 5/4 TD to INT ratio against stacked defenses like Maine, Florida International, and Iowa State. Pitt (0-2-0 ATS) has lost at home to Bowling Green, but beat Buffalo 27-16. Both teams struggle offensively, but Iowa gets their first road win 14-3.
UNDER 41


Mississippi State at Georgia Tech (-8)
Although Coach Croom is notorious for having his teams well prepared for road games, his teams are also notorious for slow starts to the season. The Bulldog offense (1-1-0 ATS) has scored 12 points against I-A opponents so far. With Ga Tech's (3-0-0 ATS) Defense only giving up 255 yards a game against both Boston College and Va Tech, it doesnt look any more hopeful for Miss State to score any points this week. Ga Tech runs the old skool Flexbone-option run which should give the Miss State defense fits. Tech wins at home 20-3.

GA TECH -8




SCARED MONEY DON'T MAKE MONEY, BET YOUR GUT AND BET BIG

Monday, September 15, 2008

Don Delaware's Monday Night Madness

College Football Blitz Recap:

4-2 on Saturday for record of 13-5 ATS for the first 3 weeks of the season.

Monday Night Football
(Eagles +7.5 at Dallas)
Rather than picking my typical Monday Night Parlay, I found an interesting side bet on BetED.com this afternoon: Eagles -3.5 at +400. This has GREAT VALUE as no one knows for sure what either team is capable of. The Eagles are healthy and looked solid against a J.V. squad called the Rams, while the Cowboys dominated a team that wasn't much better, 0-2 Browns. Marion Barber will play with bruised ribs, and T.O. is well, T.O. Tony Romo will continue to struggle against the Eagles secondary (3 INT's 0 TD's in a 10-6 loss in Dallas last season) especially with the addition of Asante Samuel. Big D has been spoon fed dreams of a super bowl season by the media, while the Eagles are ready to go to work. Bottom Line: Eagles are hungry and want it more. The play tonight is Eagles -3.5 at +400

Best of the Rest
(S.F. Giants +165 at Arizona D'backs)

The Giants are surging while the D'Backs are fading fast. The Giants have won 8 of their last 9, while Arizona has no hope in catching the L.A. Dodgers to regain 1st place in the West. San Fran has Big Mo on its side and at +165 is another solid value pick.

(Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers -145)
Honestly, Im betting AGANIST the Tigers simply because they are huge underachievers and Dontrelle Willis will find a new way to choke tonight. Take the Rangers -145

Thursday, September 11, 2008

Don Delaware's College Football BLITZ

Love Sports? Love Money? What if I said you could make $$$ while watching sports? Don't believe me? Well follow these college football picks and you'll be on your way to quitting that day job......

ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK
(#5 Ohio State at #1 So Cal -11.5)
- Southern California (1-0-0 Against the Spread) is at home this week giving up 11.5 points to the Buckeyes of Ohio State (0-1-0 ATS). OSU Coach Jim Tressel announced thursday that Heisman hopeful Beanie Wells was doubtful for Saturday's game. Wells did not play last week and the Buckeyes struggled to pull off the come-from-behind victory against Ohio 26-14. Trojans, however, crushed Virginia on the road 52-7 under Junior QB Mark Sanchez. Although this will be Sachez's first real test against a solid pass defense, speed kills and the Trojans will have zero trouble with the Buckeyes, 38-17.

Don Delaware's Big Play of the Week
(#14 ECU -13.5 at Tulane)
-ECU (2-0-0 ATS) is easily the biggest surprise in college football as they are the only team in the country to defeat two ranked opponents. ECU beat Va Tech 27-22 and hammered West Virginia 24-3. Sr. QB Pat Pinkey has thrown zero interceptions and has completed an astounding 80% of his passes. With everyone's focus on the Pirates, coach Skip Holtz will not let off the gas now against an impressive conference foe in Tulane (1-0-0 ATS). Tulane held #13 Alabama to just 172 yards on offense in a 20-6 loss to the Tide. But Alabama was playing with a hangover from crushing Clemson a week earlier in front of a sold-out Georgia Dome. Pinkey continues to shine, and the Pirates continue to impress 29-7.

Other Plays for Week 3
(N.C. State at Clemson -19)
Playing Clemson (0-1-0 ATS) this week minus 19 points to the Wolfpack (0-1-0 ATS) doesn't indicate that I believe in the Tigers, but more of a statement against N.C. State. State was blanked on national T.V. two weeks ago and followed up with a struggle 34-24 win against I-AA William & Mary. The Wolfpack D surrendered over 300 yards of total offensive to W&M while the offense didn't play much better with only 67 yards on the ground. Bottom line: North Carolina State is garbage and Bowden's boys have something to prove. Clemson rolls 59-14.

(Ga Tech +6.5 at Va Tech)
Georgia Tech (2-0-0 ATS) is playing underdog again this week. Georgia Tech's new coach Paul Johnson (from Navy) has successfully installed the flexbone offense and the Yellow Jackets have looked solid through the first two weeks. The same cannot be said about the Hokies (0-1-0 ATS). Va Tech dropped from the top 25 after a stunning loss week one to ECU. Things have only gotten more unstable as Sophmore Tyrod Taylor was asked to drop his redshirt this year in relief for struggling 5th Year Senior Sean Glennon. Glennon was 3 for 8 for 42 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT against Furman. As Va Tech continues to sort out their offensive issues, Ga Tech gets the win in Blacksburg 17-13.

The Best of the Rest
(SMU +37 at Texas Tech)
SMU's defense will be ready for Tx Tech's pass-first run-never offense as new coach June Jones runs a very similar package. Look for SMU to cover the 37 points in a 56-34 loss.

(Memphis +4 at Marshall)
The Tigers dropped a heart breaker at Rice last week giving up 29 points in the 4th quarter and losing on Memphis QB Arkelon Hall's interception for a touchdown in the last minutes of the game 42-35. The Tigers look to correct last week's mistakes and grab their first win for the 2008 season, 30-23.

And remember.....Scared Money Don't Make Money! Bet Big and Play your Gut